SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Shaping the Twenty-First Century "We live in an age of possibility. A hundred years ago, we moved from farm to factory. Now we move to an age of technology, information, and global competition. These changes have opened vast new opportunities for our people, but they have also presented them with stiff challenges." --President Bill Clinton The elements of rapid societal and institutional change are easily recognizable as we approach the twenty-first century. The end of the Cold War, the emergence of highly competitive economies in Eur ope and Asia, and the pervasive consequences of the information revolution have stimulated a significant ongoing reexamination of our national priorities and of the scope and scale of government needed to address them. Science and technology have clearly been among the principal determinants of change and agents of progress. Not surprisingly, therefore, participation in the front ranks of research and innovation h as been and will continue to be essential for our national capacity to capture the gains of scientific and technological advances. In the United States, half of our economic productivity in the last half century is attributable to technological innovation and the science that supported this innovation. The knowledge-based society of the next century only increases the centrality of research, innovation, and human capital as our principal strengths, placing important continuing responsibilities on the Admi nistration and Congress:
These imperatives drive the Administration's strong commitment to an integrated investment agenda in scientific research, technological innovation, business environment, and education. Many elements of that agenda represent continuing commitments that have long enjoyed bipartisan support. However, the investment portfolio must also evolve in response to the knowledge-based, information- and technology-driven, globally competitive borderless economy. With knowledge as the key resource, there is a tremendous premium on human capital development and on new ways of doing business. With global linkages growing stronger, the rapid movement of people, goods, and information has permanently altered commerce , national security, demographics, and health. With human activity noticeably affecting natural systems, for instance, by changing the concentration of atmospheric gases, and with global population growing substantially, we need to improve our understandi ng of the environment's capability to absorb the impact of human activity. Further, the global nature of environmental impacts raises the need for transnational approaches. Not surprisingly, the science and technology investments driven by these challenge s to established societal structures are in many ways those that still lack bipartisan consensus. Achieving that consensus is an important element of this Administration's plan to take us to the threshold of a new century and enable a bright future in the decades beyond. This science and technology biennial report to the Congress summarizes the Administration's research portfolio, notes some of the advances and initiatives from the last four years, and identifies ma ny key areas of opportunity that will help shape the twenty-first century.
SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH
Science is an endless frontier, a uniquely human activity without limits. Advancing that frontier and exploring the cosmos helps feed our sense of adventure and our passion for discovery. Research a
t the limits of human knowledge also is essential for training the scientists and engineers who are the source of future discoveries and innovation.
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Cognition/Neurobiology, Space Science, Molecular Biology, Earth and Ecological Sciences, Structure of Matter, Materials, Major Scientific Facilities |
TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION AND A HEALTHY BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Technological innovation has been America's competitive edge for improving health, prosperity, and quality of life and for providing national security. The Federal government has traditionally supported technology development in areas for which it is the
principal customer, such as national defense and space. Our civilian technology base has more complex roots - exploratory research supported by industry, basic and applied research in universities and national laboratories, and "spin-offs" from the techno
logical capability developed in pursuit of Federal mission goals.
Earthrise viewed from the Moon during the 1969 Apollo mission is representative of the American scientific and technological legac
y that we build upon today. Our stewardship of that unmatched enterprise, described in this biennial report to the Congress, leads us to continued exploration of new worlds, both in the heavens and in the rich environment for discovery here on earth. Fo
r example, the Administration's multi-agency Origins program seeks to understand the creation of the universe, stars, solar system, and life, and to determine if life existed or still exist
s beyond earth.
The Administration response is multi-pronged: sustaining our research leadership position; strengthening a business environment that supports private sector research and development; investing in te
chnological infrastructure; and advancing critical technologies, often in partnership with industry.
President Clinton peers into the plasma-source ion implantion (PSII) chamber in a facility at the Los Alamos National Laboratory. PSII technology, being developed in a national laboratory-university-industry partnership with General Motors and ten other companies, the University of Wisconsin, and Los
Alamos is used to harden material surfaces and extend the lifetimes of some products as much as a hundredfold. Cooperative research and development agreements serve commercial as well as military needs. An enormous number of industries can benefit from
such surface modifications - the annual U.S. domestic market for machine tools alone is $5 billion. The U.S. Navy also uses this facility to improve the wear and corrosion properties of a variety of defense systems.
Advancing the development of enabling technologies is increasingly significant as the time horizons of industrial research and development grow shorter. While a short-term research focus can sustain
a globally competitive position for some time, it does not provide the breakthrough technologies that generate new industries. One important Administration response is increased emphasis on government-industry partnership programs aimed at mid- to long-t
erm technology development in both the public and private interest. Industry takes the lead in identifying promising directions and, after independent merit review, government shares the risk. These partnership programs have experienced significant partis
an differences. The Administration will work actively to pursue partnership programs in a pragmatic bipartisan spirit. In particular, the programs are now approaching a level of experience that should permit definitive review and optimization of future in
vestments.
EDUCATION AND HUMAN RESOURCES
The government's core responsibility in human capital development is to strengthen America's educational system, from grade school through graduate school. This entails having all of our children prepared to learn, having our education system meet interna
tional norms, and training professionals in fields critical to the national interest. Specifically, the centrality of science and technology to achieving our societal goals in the twenty-first century places new requirements on mathematics, science, and e
ngineering education and training, not only for researchers but for the workforce and for an educated citizenry.
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Mentoring in Science and Mathematics, Improved Pedagogy, Educational Technology, Expanded Access to Higher Education, Child Development, University-Government Partnership |
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SERVING NATIONAL GOALS
Our nation's investment agenda in scientific research, technological innovation, and a healthy business environment, coupled with a strong commitment to education and human resources development, will promote the continuing beneficial application of scien
ce and technology towards our overarching national goals of economic growth and prosperity, personal health, national security and global stability, and environmental stewardship.
TECHNOLOGY FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH
Sustained prosperity for Americans requires a continuous stream of technological innovation. The Administration has acted in a variety of roles - funder, partner, facilitator - to stimulate new enabling technologies of importance both to Federal missions
and to economic growth. Specific priorities, many of them pursued through a variety of partnership programs, include: an 80-mile-per-gallon automobile; advanced construction and building technologies; a new wave of biotechnologies, with impact not only on
drug availability but also on agriculture and environmental remediation; advanced energy supply technologies, such as biomass and other renewable sources; energy conservation and resource efficiency technologies; and advanced manufacturing technologies.
In addition, a number of initiatives will revolutionize our information and transportation infrastructure: intelligent highways; air traffic technologies to increase safety and reduce environmental impacts; a new generation of supercomputers and of the In
ternet; and the widespread introduction of educational technology into the classroom.
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Next Generation Internet, Infrastructure Development, Biotechnology, Manufacturing, Construction, High Performance Computing and Communications |
BETTER HEALTH THROUGH RESEARCH
Improving the health of Americans requires a broad spectrum of basic research in the biomedical, agricultural, and social and behavioral sciences and technology development, often drawing upon tools developed in the physical sciences.
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Genetic Medicine, Disease Prevention, Food Safety, Nutrition, Integrated Pest Management, Genetic Resources |
NATIONAL SECURITY AND GLOBAL STABILITY
Science and technology have long been fundamental to the strength and security of our nation, both militarily and economically. The technological superiority in warfighting equipment on which the military depends is the product of a strategic commitment t
o science and technology, through research investments in defense laboratories, industry, and universities. Scientific advances and new technologies in areas such as simulation, communications, visualization, sensing, and miniaturization have not only exp
anded the capabilities of our military forces, but have changed the way in which wars are fought.
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New Defense Technologies, Cradle-to-Grave Nuclear Materials Management, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Counterterrorism, Global Partnerships |
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1993* Actual |
1997 Estimate |
1998 Proposed | |
By Agency:
Defense Health and Human Services National Aeronautics and Space Admininstration Energy National Science Foundation Agriculture Commerce Interior Transportation EPA Other Total |
38,898 10,472 8,873 6,896 2,012 1,467 793 649 613 511 1,308 72,492 |
37,461 12,933 9,314 6,186 2,458 1,545 1,050 581 639 504 1,150 73,821 |
36,780 13,478 9,603 7,312 2,553 1,485 1,115 605 754 555 1,229 75,469 |
By R&D Theme:
Basic Research Applied Research Development Equipment Facilities Subtotal |
13,362 13,608 42,795 NA 2,727 72,492 |
14,885 14,529 42,153 937 1,317 73,821 |
15,303 15,159 41,636 960 2,411 75,469 |
By Civilian Theme:
Basic Research Applied Research Development Equipment Facilities Subtotal |
11,951 9,130 7,269 NA 1,979 30,329 |
13,747 10,469 7,860 492 984 33,552 |
14,112 11,125 8,117 506 1,128 34,988 |
By Defense Theme:
Basic Research Applied Research Development Equipment Facilities Subtotal |
1,411 4,478 35,526 NA 748 42,163 |
1,138 4,060 34,293 445 333 40,269 |
1,191 4,034 33,519 454 1,283 40,481 |
By R&D Share:
Defense Civilian Total |
42,163 30,329 72,492 |
40,269 33,552 73,821 |
40,481 34,988 75,469 |
Percent civilian
R&D support to universities Merit (peer) reviewed R&D programs |
42%
11,674 NA |
45%
12,979 22,229 |
46%
13,268 22,717 |
*Equipment and Facilities were not collected separately in 1993 |
THE PROMISE OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE
Advances in environmental science and technology hold tremendous promise for creation of a sustainable future, a future where environmental health, economic prosperity, and quality of life are mutually reinforcing. We need to apply science and technology
in order to assess, anticipate, and avoid the negative consequences of environmental change.
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Environmental Monitoring, Endocrine Disruptors, Sustainable Development, Energy, Natural Hazard Mitigation, Regional Effects of Global Change |
ADVANCING THE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY PORTFOLIO
The advances and initiatives indicated above, and described more fully in the following chapters, are representative of the Federal research and development portfolio. This portfolio covers a remarkable spectrum of activities, from probing the farthest re
aches of the universe made visible by technological advances to developing new technologies made possible by the progress of science. The total Federal research and development investment is approximately $74 billion in fiscal year 1997 (see budget table)
. However, if we exclude the expenditures of the Department of Defense for development of specific weapons systems, the Federal government invests about $40 billion annually to
generate new knowledge, new technologies, and new scientists and engineers; this is about 2.5 percent of the Federal budget. The impressive return on this investment drives our strong commitment to sustaining America's leadership in science and technology
. The importance of this commitment is underlined by the fact that U.S. non-defense R&D expenditures total 2.0 percent of GDP, whereas Japan and Germany are spending 2.7 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively, of GDP.
Lean but accountable research administration, both in the Federal agencies and in the performing institutions - universities, medical schools, national laboratories, and industrial research centers - will sustain our competitive position even as expenditures are constrained. The diversified Federal research portfolio serves the multiplicity of missions for which our Federal departments and agencies are responsible. This distributed system of research funding provides st rong linkages between research and the core agency missions, but also places a premium on coordination and complementarity of agency programs. The National Science and Technology C ouncil (NSTC), now in its fourth year, is improving such coordination, so that our Federal investment is being used to best advantage in the national interest. The programs of all of the NSTC agencies are represented in this biennial report to the Con gress, which we submit with the hope that the accomplishments of and challenges to American science and technology will attract our shared commitment. This commitment to the work of our scientists and engineers will indeed shape the twenty-first century.
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